Comparing Hardening Options for Power Distribution Networks Considering Climate Change
Project overview
In response to the challenges posed by climate change, this project explores hardening strategies for power distribution networks to enhance resilience and reliability. The focus is on evaluating vegetation management, selective undergrounding, and the development of multipurpose utility tunnels (MUTs) against the backdrop of increasing weather-related outages. By integrating risk analysis with lifecycle cost-benefit analysis (LCCBA), the research seeks to forecast outage probabilities, assess the financial and societal impacts of each hardening strategy, and propose evidence-based policies for sustainable infrastructure development. This multidisciplinary effort combines climate risk assessment, deep learning for outage prediction, and innovative construction techniques, aiming to inform utility policies that balance cost, effectiveness, and social equity.
Key project details
Principal investigator | Amin Hammad, professor, Concordia University |
Co-principal investigators |
Osama Moselhi, professor, Concordia University; Mazdak Nik-Bakht, associate professor, Concordia University; Ali Nazemi, associate professor, Concordia University; Rebecca Dziedzic, assistant professor, Concordia University; Ali Bayat, professor, University of Alberta. |
Research collaborators |
Georges Abdul-Nour, lecturer, Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières; Diego Cerrai, assistant professor, University of Connecticut; Adriane MacDonald, associate professor, Concordia University; Christian Messier, professor, Université du Québec à Montréal; Hany El-Naggar, professor, Dalhousie University; Carly Ziter, assistant professor, Concordia University; Vincent Hébert-Garneau, product manager, Direxyon; Sadaf Gharaati, consultant in asset investment modeling, Direxyon; Terri Matthews, director, Town+Gown Center, NYC DCC; Alex Kent, director, Electricity Canada Association; Dominic Gauthier, head of Digital Transformation of the Energy System, Hydro Quebec; Chantale Germain, senior advisor, Strategic Planning, Hydro Quebec. |
Non-academic collaborators | Hydro-Quebec; Centre d'expertise et de recherche en infrastructures urbaines (CERIU); Town+Gown Center (New York City Department of Design and Construction); Direxyon; Electricity Canada Association; NSF Center for Weather Innovation and Smart Energy and Resilience (WISER); and Canadian Underground Infrastructure Innovation Centre (CUIUC). |
Research Keywords | Hardening options, power distribution networks, climate change, vegetation management, selective undergrounding, multipurpose utility tunnels, outage prediction models, impact of communities, social costs, deep learning, lifecycle cost-benefit analysis |
Budget | Cash: $234,000 In-Kind: $371,000 |
Research focus
Developing a climate impact assessment framework
This project will analyze the historical conditions of climate stressors of power distribution lines since the mid-20th century and their long-term evolutions in time and space, with the goal of making future projections.
Forecasting and managing outage risks
A key objective is to forecast the probabilities and impacts of future outages caused by different types of weather events. This includes leveraging Machine Learning (ML) and climate change models to predict outages and assess the effectiveness of hardening strategies like vegetation management, selective undergrounding, and Multipurpose Utility Tunnels (MUTs).
Evaluating hardening strategies through Lifecycle Cost-Benefit Analysis (LCCBA)
Another goal is to compare the costs and benefits of various hardening strategies using a detailed LCCBA. This analysis aims to quantify not only the financial aspects but also the social and environmental costs and benefits, providing a comprehensive view of the value each strategy offers.
Policy and regulation recommendations
Based on the comparative analysis of LCCBA results, the project intends to propose initial recommendations for policies and regulations. These recommendations will be aimed at guiding utility companies and policymakers towards adopting practices that maximize customer value and societal benefits, thereby promoting a more resilient power distribution system.
Non-academic partners
Thank you to our non-academic partners for your support and trust.